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Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2018

Use of Bayesian Network characteristics to link project management maturity and risk of project overcost

Felipe Sanchez
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Jean-Pierre Micaëlli
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Résumé

The project management field has the imperative to increase the project probability of success. Experts have developed several project management maturity models to assets and improve the project outcome. However, the current literature lacks of models allowing correlating the measured maturity and the expected probability of success. This paper uses the characteristics of Bayesian networks to formalize experts' knowledge and to extract knowledge from a project overcost database. It develops a method to estimate the impact of project management maturity on the risk of project overcost. A general framework is presented. An industrial case is used to illustrate the application of the method.
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Dates et versions

hal-02942017 , version 1 (17-09-2020)

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Felipe Sanchez, Davy Monticolo, Eric Bonjour, Jean-Pierre Micaëlli. Use of Bayesian Network characteristics to link project management maturity and risk of project overcost. 2018 14th International Conference on Signal-Image Technology & Internet-Based Systems (SITIS), Nov 2018, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain. pp.420-426, ⟨10.1109/SITIS.2018.00071⟩. ⟨hal-02942017⟩
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